Current governor and former minister mark 20% each, according to Real Time Big Data
Real Time Big Data Survey conducted August 19-20, 2022 indicates Fernando Haddad (PT) in the lead in the dispute for Palácio dos Bandeirantes with 34% of voting intentions. Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicans) and Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB) appear tied in the sequence with 20% of voting intentions each.
At the rear appear Vinicius Poit (New), with 2%, and Elvis Cesar (PDT), with 1%. The other candidates did not score. Another 11% do not know or did not respond. Blanks and nulls add up to 12%.
The survey surveyed 2,000 voters from August 19 to 20, 2022. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points at a 95% confidence interval. It is registered with the TSE under the number SP-00604/2022. The research was contracted by Rádio e TV Record for R$ 20,000.00. Here’s the intact of the survey (914 KB).
Read the results:
- Fernando Haddad (PT): 34%;
- Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicans): 20%;
- Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB): 20%;
- Vinicius Poit (New): 2%;
- Elvis Cezar (PDT): 1%;
- Gabriel Colombo (PCB): 0%;
- Altino Junior (PSTU): 0%;
- Edson Dorta (PCO): 0%;
- Carol Vigliar (UP): 0%;
- Antonio Jorge (DC): 0%;
- Blank/null: 12%;
- Don’t know/didn’t answer: 11%.
The Real Time Big Data poll also released the results of valid votes. Read:
- Fernando Haddad (PT): 44%;
- Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicans): 26%;
- Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB): 26%;
- Vinicius Poit (New): 3%;
- Elvis Cezar (PDT): 1%;
- Gabriel Colombo (PCB): 0%;
- Altino Junior (PSTU): 0%;
- Edson Dorta (PCO): 0%;
- Carol Vigliar (UP): 0%;
- Antonio Jorge (DC): 0%.
2nd shift
In a 2nd round between Haddad and Tarcísio, the former mayor of São Paulo scores 39% against 30% for the former minister. Whites and nulls correspond to 16%, while those who do not know or have not answered add up to 15%;
Between Haddad and Garcia, the percentages are closer, but the variation is still in the margin of error. The PT has 37%, while the current governor appears with 32%. Another 17% say they vote blank or null. Those who do not know or did not respond are 16%;
If the dispute is between Garcia and Tarcísio there is a technical tie. Garcia has 31% and the former minister scores 30%. Blanks and nulls add up to 20%. Those who do not know or did not respond are 19%.
Senate
the former governor Marcio France (PSB) leads the race with 28% of voting intentions. In 2nd place, they are tied, within the margin of error, Janaína Paschoal (PRTB) and Marcos Pontes (PL) with 15% and 13%, respectively.
Read the results:
- Márcio França (PSB): 28%;
- Janaína Paschoal (PRTB): 15%;
- Marcos Pontes (PL): 13%;
- Aldo Rebelo (PDT): 2%;
- Ricardo Mellão (New): 2%;
- Edson Aparecido (MDB): 1%;
- Antonio Carlos (PCO): 0%;
- Dr. Azkoul (DC): 0%;
- Socialist Collective Stain (PSTU): 0%;
- Professor Tito Bellini (PCB): 0%;
- Vivian Mendes (UP): 0%;
- Blank/null: 20%;
- Don’t know/didn’t answer: 19%.
RESEARCH AGGREGATOR
O Power 360 maintains a collection with thousands of surveys with known methodologies and on which it was possible to verify the origin of the information. There have been studies carried out since the 2000 municipal elections. This is the largest and longest-running survey of electoral research available on the Brazilian internet.
The database is interactive and allows you to follow the progress of each candidate. Access the Research Aggregator clicking here.
Research information began to be compiled by the journalist Fernando RodriguesEditor-in-Chief of Power 360on its website, in the year 2000. To access the old page with the surveys, Click here.
#Haddad #Garcia #Tarcísio #tie #survey