Should the Greens rather send Robert Habeck instead of Annalena Baerbock in the race for the Chancellery? A political scientist explains what that could mean for the party.
Munich – “We will fix the mistakes,” said the Greens leader Robert Habeck in June to the supporters at the party congress. Late reported special payments and a corrected résumé of Annalena Baerbock already shaped the debate about the Green Chancellor candidate.
But a short time later the next trouble rushed around the corner: the plagiarism allegations for Baerbock’s book. Now she has to put up with comments in some media that call co-boss Habeck as a candidate on the election campaign front. The tazCommentator, Silke Mertins, has already been attacked by the Greens. Jürgen Trittin responded in a dispute on Twitter: “I usually only read such things from right-wing trolls.”
Greens: Do you prefer Habeck instead of Baerbock? For political scientist “sheer nonsense”
It is also growing loudly within the party FAZ the unrest. A Civey poll from the weekend should make its contribution: According to this, 61 percent of voters say that the Greens chose the wrong person with Baerbock in the question of the candidate for chancellor. However, such surveys are snapshots that should not be exaggerated.
In any case, Federal Managing Director Michael Kellner dismisses the speculation about the exchange: The “common Green Team” is “clearly behind Annalena Baerbock”. Nothing will change that, he emphasized on Monday.
Ursula Münch, director of the Academy for Political Education, considers a change to be “sheer nonsense”. Even with Habeck, the problem would ultimately remain how the party would deal with mistakes in the future. “Then it would finally be programmed that the Greens lose massively,” believes Münch with a view to the polls. The party is currently around 20 percent. Compared to the 2017 federal election, this is another significant increase.
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Should Habeck nevertheless compete, it would be clear that he too would be thoroughly screened. His book from the beginning of 2021 “From here to different” could fall into the hands of plagiarism hunters. In addition, he would have to quickly find a way to vanish from the image of the “makeshift”. For Baerbock, the replacement would initially be disastrous in terms of career. And organizationally, the Greens would have to do a great deal of strength: new planning, new team, new campaign. Expert Münch also suspects it would not be easier after a swap. “I think it is extremely unlikely that the Greens will do that.” Because the discussion in the party about the position of women could break out again.
Nevertheless, a realignment is possible at any time. Because the concept of the candidate for chancellor is alien to the Basic Law. An important prerequisite, of course: Habeck must want to. When considering such considerations, his sentences from the time in my ears, from the day of the Baerbock freestyle. He characterized him as “bittersweet” and underlined how much he liked to see himself at the top.
At the moment he is more on the lookout, initially keeping a low profile in the discussion. Internally should be loud world Party headquarters and Baerbock’s Bundestag office are already pointing a finger at each other as to who is responsible for the errors.
Green MPs are now trying harder to label the election campaign with the label “content”. Habeck will probably do the same from next week on his “coastal tour” in Schleswig-Holstein when interested people ask him: “When will you take over?” (cibo)
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