Class of ’54, Angela Merkel has been at the helm of the German government since 2005. She is carrying out her fourth term, but has already announced her imminent retirement from political life
“I am the new Merkel”. His election campaign is essentially based on this message. Are we talking about Armin Laschet, the supposed heir of Frau Angela and candidate of the CDU / CSU? No, we are talking about Olaf Scholz, the leader of the SPD who has raised against all odds the prices of a party that seemed by now in a comatose state and unable to compete for the victory at the polls for a very long time. Merkel’s reign has essentially annihilated all rivals. But that reign is about to end, and Scholz could sensationally undermine the presumed dolphin (yet another) of the chancellor now on the path of political retirement (at least on the domestic front).
ELECTIONS GERMANY, THE MERKELIAN CAMPAIGN OF SCHOLZ
It seems that Scholz has thoroughly studied Merkel’s communication to try to beat the weak Laschet, champion of gaffe. At the first televised debate, the SPD leader “merkelato” according to the German media. In fact, it means that she has introjected not only and not so much political messages of Frau Angela as her ways, her confidence and, in short, the way of exposing those ideas. On the other hand, in a recent interview Scholz had himself portrayed in a classic Merkelian pose, that is to say with his hands placed in an “inverted triangle”. A pose used by Merkel several times also in election posters.
And it was precisely on Scholz’s election posters that the second clue arrived, with the words “she can be a chancellor”. And indeed the Minister of Finance and new man of the Social Democrats seems to be convincing the Germans that only he can be able to guarantee the stability that Merkel has always guaranteed in the last three decades. Easy game, facing a confused rival like Laschet. His appointment as president of the CDU, which took place on January 16, came with only 52% of the votes, ahead of challenger Friedrich Merz. And even in recent months it has failed to garner a unanimous consensus, either outside or within the majority party. He could be the one who pays the most for the effects of the recent flood in North Rhine-Westphalia. First of all because he is the governor of the Land overwhelmed by water. Secondly because of a video in which he is filmed laughing about the disaster sites. Needless to say, the comparison with Merkel is nothing short of merciless.
MERKEL TAKES THE FIELD FOR THE LAST MIRACLE: WINNING THE WEAK LASCHET
It may be for this reason that Frau Angela decided to “take the field” in the electoral campaign. And how did he do it? Not by promoting the candidate of her party, Laschet, but rather by pointing out the differences between her and Scholz: “Between him and me the difference for the future of the country is very clear”, he stressed. “With me chancellor there could never be a government with Linke, with Scholz the question remains open instead”. As if to say: do not vote for Laschet because he is good, but vote for him because Scholz would take the country in another direction than the safe navigation he had with me.
GERMANY ELECTIONS, LATEST POLLS: SPD FORWARD
And in fact this now seems to be the line taken by the entire CDU / Csu team. Other members of Merkel’s party also followed her example and pointed out the differences between Scholz and the current chancellor. For now, however, the polls continue to prove the SPD right. According to some of the latest surveys, the Social Democrats are even at 25%, with the CDU / Csu well below 20%. All while the Greens continue to drop, now at 16.5%. Suddenly, the September 26 elections seem to have become the most exciting ever.
The uncertainty about the final result is great, as well as great doubts about the final outcome of the negotiations for the formation of a government. But what for now had always been considered as the “third hypothesis” could sensationally become the first. That is to say that of a “traffic light” coalition that excludes the CDU / Csu. In this case the grand coalition would be formed by Verdi, Spd and Fdp. Once again, the CDU relies on Merkel. Frau Angela is called to one last miracle before leaving the chancellery. That is, to get us a weak heir.