Due to its electoral volume, such as third province with the most voters in the country, but also because this year renew senators, Santa Fe became a key district of the elections 2021. With an attachment, since in the STEP of September 12 there will be three very hot interns, in the three spaces that have been animating local politics: the Front of All, Together for Change and the Progressive Front. Clarion this week accessed a new survey, which puts numbers on those disputes and anticipates an open scenario.
The survey, from the consulting firm Management & Fit, was commissioned by the governor of Santa Fe, Omar perotti, who is running as a substitute candidate in the Frente de Todos primary. It is a survey of 1,200 cases (by phone, online and in person) between August 2 and 9, with +/- 2.8% margin of error.
Vice President Cristina Kirchner received at the beginning of the month the candidates for national legislators from Santa Fe who have her support, that of President Alberto Fernández and that of Governor Omar Perotti. Photo Telam.
Before entering the electoral field, the report presents current data for the province. For instance:
– The main problem for Santa Fe residents is, by far, insecurity (38.2%), followed by price and rate increases (13.9%).
– 56.1% believe that the situation in the province is worse compared to a year ago and only 19.2% trust that it will improve in the coming months.
– 61.5% disapprove of Alberto Fernández’s management and 51.5% that of Perotti.
– The national leader with the best image in the district is Horacio Rodríguez Larreta, with 46.4% positive and 36.2% negative; and the worst, Cristina Kirchner, with + 31.5% and -63.8%.
– The provincial leader with the best image is Rubén Giustiniani (+ 40% and – 22.8%) and the worst, Agustín Rossi (+ 29.7% and – 50.9%).
The vote thermometer
The next chapter is the electoral one and, as with the images, it starts with the national leaders. Measure the voting probability in Santa Fe of various figures. And again, Larreta is first (51.8% could vote for him) and last, Cristina (33.1%).
Then he messes with this year’s election and investigates an issue that worries analysts and politicians. Will people go to vote in the middle of a pandemic? 48.6% of the people from Santa Fe surveyed by M&F He says yes, he will do it “without a hitch.” 42.9% “could go to vote, taking precautions and with secure protocols.” And they complete 6.5% that they will not go and 2% that they do not know.
Amalia Granata, Federico Angelini, Jorge Faurie, Luciano Laspina and Gisela Scaglia, Santa Fe Une Candidates, for the PASO de JxC.
With some 2.8 million eligible voters, 8.18% of the total in 2019, Santa Fe only has fewer voters than the provinces of Buenos Aires and Córdoba. And it puts into play three key seats in the Senate: two from the Frente de Todos and an ally to Together for Change (the one that the late Carlos Reutemann had achieved in 2015).
What’s more, renews nine seats of Deputies: five from Together for Change, three from the Front of All and one from the Progressive Front.
Regarding the vote for the STEP 2021, first the consultant makes a proposal for “space” and the podium looks like this: 26.8% the Front of All, 22.5% Together for Change and 11% the Progressive Front.
Then ask about the senatorial candidates, who will head the sheet. And as for the internal ones, these results are given:
– On Together for Change, the vice of the PRO Federico Angelini lead with 11.1%, followed by the radical Jose Corral (7.4%), the journalist Carolina Losada (7%) and the former Minister of Security Maximiliano pullaro (4.2%). Force comes first with 29.7 points.
Agustín Rossi and Vice Governor Alejandra Rodenas, when they presented their list for the Santa Fe intern. Photo Juan José García.
– At Front of All, Marcelo lewandoski (from the list supported by Perotti, Alberto F. and Cristina), exceeds 15.9% to 13.2% to Rossi, who had to leave the Government for this candidacy. Thus, the ruling party is just below JxC in the sum, with 29.1 points.
– At Progressive Front, finally, the former senator Ruben Giustiniani prevails over Clara Garcia (wife of the late former governor Miguel Lifschitz) 9.2% to 5.7%. Total FP: 14.9 points.
– Between rest of the candidates senators add 3.6%, plus 3.1% from blank / null, 3.7% I would not go to vote and 15.9% undecided.
Prior to this study, Clarion had published three other surveys on the election in Santa Fe, from the consulting firms MAS Group, Federico González and Raúl Aragón.
– Regarding the internal JxC, one gave Angelini the winner (MAS Group, like M&F) and the other two to Losada.
– Inside the FdT, all three (unlike M&F) showed Rossi first.
– In the internship of the FP, the three (also unlike M&F) put Garcia upstairs.