How will the October administrative elections end? Affaritaliani.it he asked the pollster Alessandro Amadori. “The strong appeal of the 5 Star Movement of is greatly downsized and the market has become much more fluid, almost ‘Baumanian’. Compared to two years ago, and even more so than four years ago, there has been a watering down of identity of almost all the parties, not only of the 5 Stars but also of the Democratic Party and the League. The political forces have lost their character and in fact the candidates in these elections are in most cases not of high political depth. The truth is that the electoral campaign will count a lot, especially in recent weeks “.
THE SITUATION CITY BY CITY
ROME: No candidate is favored, absolute uncertainty and three-way fight: Marchini (Center-right), who will surely go to the ballot, Gualtieri (Pd) and Raggi (M5S) who both have a 50% chance of going to the second round. Calenda is definitely out of the ballot.
MILAN: The mayor of the outgoing Democratic Party, Sala, has the advantage, even if the victory is not sure. Let’s say 55% to 45, at the moment, on the center-right.
TURIN: Same situation as Rome, 50 to 50. After the breakup and strong weakening of the M5S, the city could return to its historical left-wing tradition or be attracted to a completely different hypothesis.
BOLOGNA AND NAPLES: I see the two cities assigned to the left-M5S alliance, frankly I don’t see how there can be even a semi-open game.
CALABRIA REGION: Center-right ahead.