Bavaria’s Markus Söder criticizes scientists and virologists for allegedly not seeing the fourth corona wave coming. Christian Drosten is now reacting on Twitter – and very clearly.
Munich / Berlin – It’s always the same story that Bavarian Prime Minister Markus Söder (CSU) tells when it comes to assessing the fourth wave in the coronavirus pandemic: The scientists supposedly did not see this winter wave coming.
Fourth corona wave in Germany: Markus Söder (CSU) criticized virologists
“It is very impressive that almost all virologists, epidemiologists and scientists have not correctly assessed the impact and speed of this new wave,” said the Prime Minister Munich In mid-November in the BR program “Controversy – The Political Magazine”. The 54-year-old repeated this assessment on 23 November in a government statement in the state parliament: “Many have not seen the dynamism and speed, neither have I,” said the Franconian in front of members of the Bavarian state parliament. Söder confirmed his thesis in TV interviews. Which is not true?
Many did not see the dynamics and speed, neither did I.
On Wednesday (December 1), the well-known virologist Christian Drosten from the Berlin Charité responded to the allegations. Although he did not name Söder, he is still considered to be the most prominent proponent of the thesis that science allegedly did not warn early and expressly enough of high corona infection numbers in winter.
“I currently read more often that science did not address the topics of winter waves, vaccination quota and booster vaccination in time,” wrote Drosten on Twitter and shared the link to an expert paper by the Robert Koch Institute (RKI): “Here is a statement from the RKI – a federal institute. Published July 7, 2021. Every decision-maker should know. ”Clear words from Christian Drosten to the critics.
Fourth corona wave: Christian Drosten reacts to criticism from Markus Söder (CSU)
What is in the paper that was released on July 7th? In one conclusion, it says: “On the basis of the mathematical models presented here and the results from the surveys on vaccination acceptance, we maintain a target vaccination rate (vaccination protection through full vaccination) of 85% for 12–59 year olds and 90% for people over the age of 60 years necessary. ”
Fourth corona wave in Germany: virologist Christian Drosten refers to RKI paper
And the RKI further explains: “If this vaccination quota is reached in time, a pronounced 4th wave in the coming autumn / winter seems unlikely, provided that the population continues to adhere to the basic hygiene measures in addition to vaccination and contacts with one if the number of infections increases again reduced to a certain extent. ”The federal authorities have therefore by no means ruled out increasing numbers of infections.
Instead, the RKI set out clear limits for vaccination rates in the population, above which the probability of a fourth wave would have been lower. The problem: These vaccination quotas were in some cases clearly missed. So were loud Vaccination dashboard from RKI and the Federal Ministry of HealthAs of December 1st, just 68.7 percent of the total population was fully vaccinated. A quota of 85 to 90 percent was clearly missed in some age groups, which had already become apparent in the summer.
In the video: Corona – Markus Söder brings vaccination for children into play
The RKI had already warned in its paper from the beginning of July: “An increasing dominance of the delta variant is to be expected in the coming weeks. This will affect the ITS occupancy (Intensive care units, d. Red.) especially when the vaccination rates for 12–59 year olds stagnate at 75% or even 65% and at the same time a complete opening takes place. The lower the vaccination rates achieved in autumn, the less basic hygiene measures are sufficient if the delta variant is dominant and further measures to reduce contact would be necessary. ”
Fourth corona wave in Germany: politics around the traffic light coalition must sharpen rules
Everything that the RKI prophesied has now come true, which is why German politics around the future traffic light federal government will have to sharpen the rules in further corona summits at the beginning of December. Other countries such as Italy, on the other hand, get much better into the pandemic winter thanks to much more first and second vaccinations against Corona. And probably through this too. (pm)
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