Mario Draghi Marta Catabia Giuliano Amato Pier Ferdinando Casini Lapresse
Quirinale, doesn't Draghi go to Colle? Three other names in the field (apart from the Berlusconi hypothesis): Cartabia, Amato and Casini
In the end, what many suspected and especially the Democratic Party feared, happened: Sergio Mattarella, who has already found a home in Rome, he excluded the encore at the Colle. Point. Closed chapter. And now? The day-after in Parliament, especially around Enrico Letta, is not easy to digest. Crossing various sources, both from the center-right and the center-left, beyond the hypothesis Silvio Berlusconi (to check the numbers in Parliament), in pole position with a 40% probability of becoming president of the Republic is the premier Mario Draghi. The only one able to find the votes to be elected on the first ballot, when a qualified majority is needed.
In this case, it is practically certain that the Minister of Economy would go to Palazzo Chigi Daniele Franco, a technician very close to Super Mario. Be careful, however, because it would be almost impossible to reach the end of the legislature in 2023. Franco, political sources explain, does not have the strength of Draghi and it would therefore be very difficult for him to be able to build the Budget Law for 2023, at the end of next year, putting together a majority that is already fighting continuously today and that in fact would already be in the electoral campaign.
The most probable hypothesis, which many claim to be almost a certainty, is that Franco at Palazzo Chigi holds up for spring and summer then go to early political elections in September, as happens in Germany, so that to write the new economic maneuver is the government elected by the citizens. There are so many times, given that the budget of the Draghi executive has not yet arrived in Parliament and we are now in mid-November.
If, on the other hand, Draghi were to remain prime minister, at this point there are three names in the running (except for the Berlusconi hypothesis), all with 20% of the chances at the moment: Marta Cartabia, Minister of Justice, Giuliano Amato, former Prime Minister, e Pierferdinando Casini, former Speaker of the House. The fact is that it will be weeks of hidden negotiations and the solution will not be easy to find. Although the SuperMario solution could make everyone agree. Obviously, if you voted in less than a year, the electoral law would not be changed, it would remain the Rosatellum (mix between proportional and single-member majority) which forces parties to join forces. Then center-right-center-left clash with the various Renzi And Calenda who will have to decide what to do and which side to be on.
Read also:
PAOLA SEVERINO: the ace in the hole of the Democratic Party
PAOLO GENTILONI: Calenda's proposal
"PIERFURBY" CASINI: from the quarrel with Follini to the photos ... naked
GIANNI LETTA, the "plan-B" of Berlusconi and Forza Italia
SILVIO BERLUSCONI: your dream can become reality, here's how
ROMANO PRODI: he dreams of the Hill (even if he doesn't say so ...)
GIULIANO AMATO: that "subtle" ambition ...
MARTA CARTABIA: the indigestible parsley at the Five stars
Berlusconi, Franceschini, Casini and ... The "great game" of the Quirinale begins
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