“Peak of 100,000 positives per day in mid-January”
“We have not yet reached the peak of this new wave, which presumably will be reached after the holidays. We have to bypass the winter,” he says. Affaritaliani.it Fabrizio Pregliasco, member of the Cts of Lombardy and medical director of the Galeazzi hospital in Milan, speaking of the continuous increase of Covid cases in Italy driven above all by the Omicron variant. “We must consider the coronavirus as the wave pattern that produces a stone in the pond. First we have the most impressive and then others occur. We are not yet at the level of calm. There will likely be another wave next winter, after spring and summer, thanks also to the heat and the fact that people are more outdoors, there will certainly be an improvement “.
Lapresse
According to Pregliasco “we could arrive, as in other nations, about 100 thousand positive cases a day. England seems to have already crossed the peak and France is experiencing it these days. The movements for the holidays, the kisses, the hugs and then the reopening of the schools on January 10 will have their effects felt with the peak probably around January 15-20 “. In short, in 2022”we will not get out of the pandemic, but after this round the number of vaccinated people will be very high and infected and reinfected. The next wave of Covid will almost certainly be like a bad flu season. “
On the fourth dose hypothesis, the virologist explains that “after six months the protection of vaccination drops and that in any case a vaccinated can infect, even if in a certainly lower way. Ultimately, the fate is that of the flu vaccine. Free for the frail and elderly and paid for a young person. Let’s go towards this solution also for Covid“.
New restrictive measures and lockdown in January? “You have to consider all the options. Some regions have increasing numbers and, like Lombardy, they will turn yellow if not orange. There could be closures, lockdowns, surgeries on the national territory in January, perhaps only for the unvaccinated. These are all hypotheses on the table, nothing can be excluded “. Pregliasco then concludes that” we will move towards a civil coexistence with Covid, thanks also to the increasingly widespread use of monoclonal antibodies and the arrival of pills, such as Pfizer, which they are interesting tools to fight the disease “.
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