According to Iran, the attack on Israel was a retaliatory strike. Threats follow again – from Israel and Iran. The situation in the Middle East continues to deteriorate.
Tehran – For the second time this year, Iran launched a massive missile attack on Israel on Tuesday (October 1). According to Iranian sources, the ballistic missile attack was a response to the killing of Hezbollahleader, Hassan Nasrallah. Well Israel also wants to respond to the Iranian attack. The Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced after Tuesday’s attack that Iran “will pay for it.” And Tehran has already threatened a “response” if Israel responds to the attack with a counterstrike. A spiral of violence in the Middle East, it seems.
Rocket attack on Israel: Iran in an “almost insoluble dilemma”
Even before the Iranian missile attack, experts spoke of a dilemma that Iran faced given the killing of the Hezbollah chief. The assessment of many experts: Iran will try to avoid a further escalation of the situation. Even after Iran’s attack, Middle East expert Stefan Fröhlich speaks of an “almost insoluble dilemma” that Tehran is in.
The fact that Iran has to watch the “decline of its most important ally” – Hezbollah – amounts to a “loss of face for Tehran,” explained Fröhlich in an interview ntv. Against this background, the Middle East expert called the attack on Israel “expected”. Nevertheless, Fröhlich spoke of a “controlled escalation”. On the one hand, the expert explained, “there had to be a reaction,” and on the other hand, Iran did not want a “major war with Israel.”
Fröhlich also now expects an Israeli reaction and, against this background, explained: “The risk is increasing that this will become a larger and longer-lasting war of attrition.” Israel, according to Fröhlich, has long been in a multi-front war.
After the Iranian attack on Israel: Concern about “ongoing war of attrition” in the Middle East
Both the Houthis in Yemen and Hezbollah in Lebanon repeatedly fire rockets at Israel. Israel recently launched a ground offensive in Lebanon. Added to this is the threat posed to Israel Hamas and Iran. However, experts explain, Iran is not interested in a regional war. Nevertheless, the Middle East expert at the Konrad Adenauer Foundation, Philipp Dienstbier, comes to the conclusion that Iran’s attack on Tuesday was a “playing with fire.” In the DeutschlandfunkIn the interview, Dienstbier explained that Iran’s attack was about “retaliation” but also about “restoring deterrence against Israel.”
Iran fires 180 rockets at Israel: Air defenses are said to have intercepted most of the missiles
Israel said it was able to repel most of the approximately 180 rockets that Iran fired at Israel on Tuesday evening. However, unlike in April, this time Iran also attacked Israel with hypersonic missiles – some hitting the center and south of Israel. There was one death in the Israeli-occupied part of the West Bank. Two people were injured in Tel Aviv. The fact that the attack took place this way, Dienstbier explained, was “calibrated” by Iran. Nevertheless, he said: “Iran’s calculation of rebuilding deterrence without provoking a major counterattack is significantly riskier than we know from the past.”
The international community is also concerned about you Conflagration in the Middle East is growing in light of the recent attacks. In Berlin, Chancellor Olaf Scholz declared: “Iran risks setting the entire region on fire – this must be prevented at all costs.” U.N.-Secretary General, António Guterres, appeals to the parties to the conflict in the Middle East for de-escalation. Recently, however, the West’s appeals in the Middle East appear to have had little effect. (pav)
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