Sinaloa.- Hopelessness and doubts about getting ahead in the short term, they reflected the answers that businessmen gave in the business survey most recent Applied Debate in Culiacan, Ahome and Mazatlan.
The ravages of the pandemic also make it clear that owners of micro, small and medium enterprises are dissatisfied towards local and federal public policies. They rejected the economic policies applied by Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) during the pandemic, and by the state government of Rubén Rocha Moya.
The three analysts who supported the interpretation of this survey —Rajid Roberto Luna Cruz, economist and financial educator; Aarón Sánchez, economist, columnist and academic, and César Miguel Valenzuela, research economist and university professor, point out that businessmen did everything possible to sustain themselves during the economic contraction of the pandemic and that it is urgent that governments manage real ways to lift this branch economic.
Entrepreneurs do not feel supported
Many of the opportunities that entrepreneurs have for their development come from public policies. To reference their feelings regarding the current economic policies implemented by the federal government, they were asked how they rated the government of Andrés Manuel López Obrador in this regard (question 9). The results were not favorable, since, from a score of 1 to 10, AMLO’s policies obtained an average rating of 5.07 in this line.
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When analyzing the opinion towards the federal government by municipality, it was obtained that the lowest rating was given by Ahome, with 5.04 points; Culiacán rated it with 5.06 points, and Mazatlán, with 5.10, the best rating of the three.
The economists interviewed for this article agree that these failing grades make it clear that entrepreneurs did not feel supported with the actions taken by the federal government during the pandemicduring which there was only one support of 25 thousand pesos to mipymes that meet the requirements.
Debate also inquired about the rating given to the local government for the public policy criterion (question 10), and in general it obtained a lower rating than for the federal government, since the Rubén Rocha Moya government obtained a lower rating. from 4.57 out of 10.
For the local government, the best rating was slightly given by Ahome, with 4.71 points; Mazatlán, second with 4.55 points, and Culiacán gave an average rating of 4.46 among their participants.
Regarding these answers, the economist César Valenzuela believes that Governor Rubén Rocha, without owing or fearing it, was poorly evaluated, and that this evaluation can be seen in two ways: on the one hand, that they are accrediting the opinion that businessmen have of national politics, and, on the other hand, that they are accrediting the economic policy of the previous state six-year term, because this governor had barely been in government for a few weeks at the time of the survey application; even so, these responses to the economist deserve concern, because, together with the response of the federal government, such disapproval of the administrations may mean that “the respondents reflect a certain level of desperation, and therefore it is urgent to intervene in this regard” .
This study was applied from December 23 to 30, 2021 to 157 entrepreneurs from three Sinaloa cities. While Rocha assumed the governorship on November 1.
In this tenor is the interpretation of Rajid Luna, since it seems to him that economic policies, both federal and local, have not been satisfactory or supportive for the Sinaloa business sector and, therefore, they are disapproved. Aarón Sánchez observes the same, and, for his part, commented: “It is urgent that, in the governmental sphere and also in the legislative space, greater priority be given to the design of instruments for economic reactivation”, since as these are not have, businessmen do not perceive that something is being done to stabilize the situation.
They took regrettable measures
The generation or maintenance of jobs is one of the most reliable indicators of regional economic status, according to the Council for the Economic Development of Sinaloa. In the survey of Debate it was inquired whether due to the effects of the pandemic employers laid off staff (question 12).
On average, the three cities responded as follows: “1-2 employees” 38 percent, this being the majority response; in second place were those who fired “3 to 6 employees”; the option of having fired “11 or more employees” was considered by 15 percent of the total number of participating employers and “7 to 10 employees” by 14 percent.
For Rajid Luna, this is an indicator of how hard the situation was for businessmen, because although the majority of the answers were located in those who fired from one to two employees, in reality, and unfortunately, all employers found it necessary to do without employees to get ahead due to lack of solvency and support.
economic constraints
This is reflected in the following: entrepreneurs were asked what factors could have limited the development of the company during the third year of federal management (question 11). The answer most answered by the participants in the study was that they were limited by the “tax legislation”, with 30 percent; “excessive regulations” and “local and regional government paperwork” each took 20 percent. “Unclear regulations” and “labour legislation” were taken into account for 10 percent of each option, and “none” and “other” together accounted for the other 10 percent of the elections.
For Rajid Luna, those options that have to do with the implementation of fiscal and bureaucratic tax regulations, which together make up a majority of 70 percent, therefore, this would be a very important impediment to its development “everything relies on the fact that the government is the one that limits development, that is, that charges a lot of taxes or that has such a bureaucracy that it prevents them from growing,” Luna commented.
Valenzuela also agreed on this, observing that the majority opinions are “between what is tax legislation, which means the legislation of new taxes, the miscellaneous tax and what are the procedures with local and regional governments, which is what he gets half the percentage.”
In this sense, Sánchez proposes: “the political agenda must put at the center of its attention the creation of better conditions for micro and small companies to recover their level of operations, in such a way that they can guarantee the maintenance of jobs and wages. ”, that is, if obstacles are perceived, not only administrative, the government must do its part to allow businessmen to advance.
Some needed loans
Question seven asks if the entrepreneurs had economic needs during the pandemic, by asking them if it was necessary for them to request some type of loan. Surprisingly, the average global response was that they “did not”, with 54 percent, however, they are not very disparate responses according to analysts, since they are only 8 percentage points apart, since they said “yes” in 46 out of every hundred participations.
When the responses are broken down by municipality, they continue to be very similar to each other, with Culiacán maintaining a 50/50 ratio between “yes” and “no”; in Ahome, 55 percent said “no” and the rest that “yes, they needed it”; For their part, of the total number of participants in Mazatlan, 46 percent mentioned that “no” and 54 percent that “yes.”
The percentage that answered that they had applied for some type of loan was asked if it was granted (question 8). Here the answers were divided: between those who “yes it was given to them” and “they do not know if they were given it”, the answer was equal to 36 percent each, but 27 percent said that “they had not been given it”. dice”.
In all cases, the response that they had not been granted an economic loan was 30 percent or less. For Rajid Luna, it was interesting and provides information, since he considers that very possibly the credit was not granted to entrepreneurs who did not meet the requirements for it, as well as having financial stability or assets with which to guarantee their loan, Otherwise, it would happen with those who did have the possibility of receiving it.
In fact, various economists have been recommending during this pandemic, preferably, andavoid credits or pay them off as soon as possibledue to the increase in interest rates.
They confirm they need support
They were also asked to communicate if they considered they needed economic stimuli from the state and federal governments (question 13), that “yes they needed them” was a resounding response from 85 percent of the participants, that “they did not need them” and that “don’t know or don’t consider” 8 percent each.
The economist and financial educator Rajid Luna sees something revealing in this answer: “the vast majority answer yes, but this is a class of questions to which everyone would be expected to answer yes, that is, for 100 percent percent answered yes”, then, for him, the people who say that they did not require it may be businessmen who do not agree with the policies of the local and federal governments, and therefore they are the ones who can say that de Rocha or They don’t want anything from AMLO, “then those who answer that they would not consider stimuli, their dislike for these characters is so much that they choose to say no,” he sentenced.
There is despair and opportunities
The three economists consider that the answers show the pessimism that businessmen have for the situation to improve and that they reflect the urgent need for support.
In the words of the economist and columnist for Debate, Aarón Sánchez, “in the short term, the Sinaloan businessman saw no hope of a possible economic recovery”.
Codesin recently made the following observation that the covid-19 crisis represents an opportunity for “the consolidation of a development model based on productive diversification and economic sectors that add high value”, therefore, according to economists interviewed by Debate, to support the business sectors, in the short, medium and long term, governments must generate economic commitments in order to develop more opportunities in the world of work, since entrepreneurs are an essential sector in regional economic development and therefore it is also important that they be supported.
The data
tourism went down
Tourism, activity of high
importance in the Sinaloa economy, declined at the beginning of the pandemic, especially in the first four months of the health crisis (Codesin, 2021).
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favored sector
Sinaloa did not suffer the drop in its exports during the first year of the pandemic, since they are mostly food, but manufacturing exports did register a slight reduction (Codesin, 2020).
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