According to the report, countries committed to the Paris Climate Agreement have made “weak promises that have not been delivered”.
Current emission reduction targets are not enough to stop global temperatures rising to 1.5 degrees this century, says a recent report by UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2021.
The report was published just days before the UN climate summit. The organizers of the Glasgow Climate Summit, which begins on Sunday 31 October, have set as their most ambitious goal that the planet will not warm by more than 1.5 degrees during this century.
The goal will not be achieved with the current measures, says Unep. Instead, current actions and targets will lead to an average global temperature increase of 2.7 degrees by the end of the century.
It would have devastating consequences, the report says.
“The world is still on the road to a climate catastrophe,” the UN Secretary-General António Guterres said at a report release on Tuesday, according to news agency AFP.
Report according to the countries bound by the Paris Climate Agreement have made “weak promises that have not been redeemed”.
In order to halt global warming to two degrees, which is a less ambitious goal of the Paris Climate Agreement, emissions cuts should be made by 30% by 2030, according to the report.
Ideally, warming can be stopped to 1.5 degrees, which, according to the report, requires 55 percent cuts in emissions. This is, among other things, the EU’s goal.
According to Unep, neither scenario will materialize with the current climate targets. As part of the Paris Climate Agreement, the signatory countries must set a new, more ambitious climate target. In English, this climate goal is nationally determined contribution (NDC), ie the nationally determined contribution.
According to Unep, the latest climate targets will cut emissions by 7.5 percent by 2030.
“Progress had been made on the latest climate targets presented, but overall we are very far from where we should be,” Anne Ohloff, one of the authors of the report summarized for AFP.
World countries will therefore have to cut their emissions by half over the next more than eight years.
The focus is on the G20 climate targets, which account for around 80% of global emissions.
The G20 countries are Argentina, Australia, Brazil, South Africa, South Korea, Indonesia, India, Italy, Japan, Canada, China, Mexico, France, Germany, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Russia, Britain and the United States.
In its report, Unep believes that the six G20 countries have not met their previous climate targets. These countries are the United States, Canada, Australia, Brazil, South Korea and Mexico. The other six G20 countries have set more ambitious targets.
“If emissions are not significantly cut over the next decade, we have finally lost the opportunity to stop warming to 1.5 degrees,” Guterres said on Tuesday, according to news agency Reuters.
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