POLITICAL ELECTORAL POLLS TODAY 22 JULY 2021
POLITICAL ELECTORAL POLLS TODAY – Most Italians approve of the idea of a abrogative referendum of the Basic income, proposed in early July by Matteo Renzi. This is what emerges from the latest weekly survey carried out by Political thermometer, according to which 51.5 percent of those interviewed said they were in favor of the consultation as proposed by the leader of Italia Viva, even if with some distinctions, while another 24.6 percent are in favor of a reform in Parliament of the measure wanted by the 5 Star Movement.
For 34 percent of those attending the abrogative referendum “It is necessary”, because “the Basic income it is a harmful and useless measure “. 21.5 per cent of those interviewed say they are in favor of the referendum “but only if an alternative form of subsidy is proposed for those who are truly destitute”.
Nearly a quarter of respondents, or 24.6 percent, disagree with the proposal Matteo Renzi, but he is still in favor of an intervention by Parliament. According to these people, “the Basic income it must be changed in Parliament to make it more effective ”.
Finally, only 18.3 percent of respondents believe that the symbolic measure of the M5S should be maintained, because it represents “an important tool against poverty, especially in this period”.
HOW THE POLLS ARE DONE
The electoral and political polls are carried out by opinion polling societies respecting very specific scientific criteria. The authors of the surveys must identify a sample to be interviewed that is sufficiently large and representative of the population to be analyzed. In the case of polls on voting intentions for parties or the confidence index of political leaders, therefore, the interviewees must adequately represent the Italian population of age, those who have the right to vote and who go to the polls.
This work is done to minimize the margin of error and make the detection as reliable as possible. Usually a political-electoral poll is considered reliable if the indicated margin of error is 3 percent with a 95 percent confidence interval. It is precisely that of identifying a representative sample of the population that is the greatest difficulty for pollsters. Interviews for political electoral polls are usually conducted with a Cati methodology, by telephone, or Cawi, via the Internet, or mixed. To carry out the interviews, opinion polling companies rely on specialized companies.
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