Betis’ chances of finishing in the top eight in the Conference League

11/29/2024

Updated at 09:41 a.m.

Betis’ defeat against Mlada Boleslav was a cold shower for the club’s ambitions in the Conference League. After stumbling before him Warsaw Legion and tie with him KobenhavnManuel Pellegrini’s men had the duty not to stumble again if their intentions were to be among the top eight in the classification. However, the green and white team played one of their worst games of the season and this objective became very complicated.

According to the data provided by the account specialized in statistics Football Meets Data, the teams that aspire to be among the eight best in this league phase They must total 13 or 14 points. Taking into account that Betis currently has four points and still has two games to play, the chances of being among the best eight is 0.2% if the green and white team manages to win both games. The next rivals for Pellegrini’s team are Petrocub from Moldova and the Helsinkithe first at home and the second at the Benito Villamarín. If they obtain six points in these two duels, Betis would add ten points in total, so the possibilities are slim.

However, if the Seville team manages to collect more than four points between these duels, it would ensure its classification among the 24 best. Even winning one duel and losing the other, he would have an 80% chance of staying there. With this new tournament format, finishing in the first 24 would mean play the play-offs instead of going directly to the round of 32.