“The turnout in this electoral round has suffered a significant decline but not a collapse. In the main cities the decline was 5-6 percentage points, probably because it was an electoral campaign with less dialectic which lacked a strong presence of the main political leaders “. Thus begins the analysis for Affaritaliani.it of the elections of Livio Gigliuto, vice-president of the Piepoli Institute.
“The main figure is certainly the success of the candidates of the Democratic Party, but above all for the proportional ones. It was known that Sala would have won in Milan perhaps already in the first round, but few had foreseen a victory of this magnitude. The same goes for Lepore in Bologna and Manfredi in Naples. The most important data of the victory of the Center-Left are the proportions “.
“As for the 5 Star Movement – explains the pollster – the correct reading is that it is now a party destined to ally itself with the Democratic Party. Conte’s leadership and these elections have removed the ambiguity and canceled the policy of the two ovens of the 5 Stars. Then, as always, we know that they struggle much more in the administrative offices than in national elections “.
“The League has certainly suffered a decline, even significant in some cities, but for example in Milan it is confirmed above the Brothers of Italy and this is already an important figure given the fears of cowardice. not as high as some had predicted. “
“Fratelli d’Italia, which fits into a context that does not win, has not registered a bang, but has had a small growth, particularly in some cities such as Rome where the figure for Giorgia Meloni’s party is excellent”.
“The data of Forza Italia, still alive, is very interesting. For example, in Calabria, if the result of Occhiuto’s list is added to Forza Italia, the numbers are considerable. Within the Center-right, which has suffered an overall defeat to these Administrations , the Forza Italia figure is certainly positive and interesting “.
And finally a look at the ballots of Turin and Rome between the Democratic Party and the Center-right. “The logic leads to reasoning by summation, and therefore the favorites are Lo Russo in Turin and Gualtieri in Rome, the candidates of the Center Left, but it should not be forgotten that in the second round we start from scratch. The voters must be convinced to return to the polls and the games In short, the Democratic Party and the Center Left are favorites in Turin and Rome, but absolutely nothing can be taken for granted “, concludes Gigliuto.