Election political polls today 3 October 2024
ELECTION POLITICAL POLLS – Fdi and Pd are declining, M5S and Lega are growing: this is what emerges from the latest electoral political polls prepared by Swg for the TgLa7.
According to the survey, in fact, Fdi, which remains firmly the first party in Italy, fell by 0.3 percent and dropped to 29.8%. The Democratic Party also fell to 22.4% after losing 0.2 percent compared to the previous week.
The 5 Star Movement, on the other hand, grew by 0.1%, while the League (+0.2%) reached 8.4 percent and surpassed Forza Italia which in the meantime fell by 0.2 percent, thus retreating at 8.3%.
Greens/Italian Left stable at 7.1% while Azione retreats by 0.1 percent and is now at 3%. Among the other minor parties, Italia Viva drops by 0.2% and is now at 2.5 percent while +Europa grows by 0.2% and thus rises to 1.7 percent.
HOW POLLS ARE DONE
Electoral and political polls are carried out by opinion polling companies respecting very specific scientific criteria. The authors of the surveys must identify a sample to interview that is sufficiently large and representative of the population they intend to analyse. In the case of surveys on party voting intentions or the confidence index of political leaders, therefore, the interviewees must adequately represent the adult Italian population, those who have the right to vote and who go to the polls. This work is done to minimize the margin of error and make the detection as reliable as possible.
Usually a political-electoral poll is considered reliable if the margin of error indicated is 3 percent with a confidence interval of 95 percent. The greatest difficulty for pollsters is precisely that of identifying a representative sample of the population. Interviews for electoral political surveys are usually carried out with a Cati methodology, by telephone, or Cawi, via the Internet, or mixed. To carry out interviews, opinion polling companies rely on specialized companies.
Read also: All surveys
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