The significance of this shift appears in Western arms packages, as well as American and European promises of more advanced weapons, which reflected the West’s confidence or hope that it would bring about a major change in favor of the Ukrainians after the harsh losses of the East.
In contrast, the pro-Russian administrations in Ukraine started referendums to include these regions in Moscow, while Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a partial mobilization and warned that Moscow would resort to “all means” to protect its territory.
What is the secret of transformation?
Christopher Dougherty of the Center for a New American Security (CNAS) in Washington wrote on Twitter:
• Russian military leaders failed to prepare for the use of weapons from NATO
The HIMARS and HARM missiles and Caesar cannons changed the course of the war
• Russia is unable at every stage to take the right decisions quickly
• Ukraine, which embarked on a process of reforming its army after the loss of Crimea in 2014, is pressing specifically on weaknesses, relying on the help of Western agencies
• Ukraine’s ability to gather and process information and act quickly and effectively has given it a significant advantage over the centralized and rigid Russian command structure.
• Ukraine continuously receives information from US satellites and long-range radar surveillance aircraft
ukraine strategic goal
Political analyst Andrew Boyfield told “Sky News Arabia” that “the counterattacks distract the Russians from seeking to achieve a decisive breakthrough, Kherson, the guarantee that will be provided to the West to renew the motives of its military and economic support to Kyiv even with the suffering of the coming winter without Russian gas.”
Boyfield added that “the counter-attacks will be a springboard towards the liberation of the southern region. The first areas will be Centropil, which will facilitate the process of its siege, as it is surrounded by the sea from all directions except for the one that connects it with Kherson, while the second phase will be according to the plan of Zaporozhye and then Mariupol, and thus the greater Ukrainian strategic goal is achieved.” It confined the fighting to the east and cut off any attempt to link the south with the breakaway region of Moldova, backed by Russia.”
He pointed out that “the weather is another factor that Kyiv seeks to exploit. Autumn and winter mean rain and muddy lands that slow the movement of trucks and tanks, as well as pedestrians, and this time the winter will be harsh on both sides.”
While he considered that the Ukrainian attack will face a military reality full of challenges, the attack is more difficult than the defense that Kyiv has been in throughout the war, Ukraine needs personnel, equipment, large logistics, military coordination and intelligence assistance.
He stressed the importance of the high-speed, anti-radiation HARM missiles that will attack Russian radars and thus reduce the risks to the Ukrainian Air Force, in addition to mine-resistant armored personnel carriers, as Washington gifted 40 of the “Max Pro” with multiple uses.
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