The return of Brazilian President Lula from his trip to Mexico, where he attended the inauguration of the new president, Claudia Sheinbaum, has been doubly eventful. First because of his plane accident, which made him delay his return, and then because upon his arrival the unexpected results of the Quaest agency survey awaited him, which against all forecasts reveals that the poor are the ones who rate his Government the worst.
Although the data on the economy of Lula’s third term could not seem more favorable in international agencies, and despite the Government’s effort to focus its attention on improving the lives of the poorest, the survey reveals which have increased by 13 points, making his management equal to that of his predecessor, the right-wing Jair Bolsonaro.
Its highest rate of rejection also appears inexplicably among Catholics, who were always the best allies of the left, while 61% of those surveyed consider that their purchasing power has worsened. In total, approval of the Government has fallen between 4% and 7% among the most dispossessed. And hope for an improvement in the economy has increased by 7 points, which is a surprise given the indisputable data on the positive path of the Brazilian economy in general.
Perhaps to analyze the surprising result of the new national survey, which diminishes confidence, especially among the poorest, in Lula’s Government, it would be necessary to understand that today throughout the country what is most worrying—even more than the economy—are other issues. that the Government has not yet faced with the expected rigor. This is, for example, the enormous increase in violence and insecurity, which affects all social classes, as well as political corruption and privileges for the richest.
For 61% of those interviewed by Quaest, the purchasing power of citizens is less than last year, due to the strong food inflation that has hit the poorest classes hard and even the middle classes.
Lula’s Government, despite its frenetic foreign policy and its great global projection, needs to better understand, especially its party, the Workers’ Party (PT), that Brazil, like the world, has changed in its political aspects. The left seems to have remained stuck in past methods of dealing with the so-called proletariat, unable to embrace the new digital era that has revolutionized politics and changed paradigms.
A demonstration may be provided by the results of Sunday’s important vote in the country’s mayoralties, where according to the polls Lula’s party could fail to win a single regional government, even in those in which the PT was already the majority, such as in those of the poor northeast, where Lula came from.
The distrust of this loss of local power, fundamental for the 2026 presidential elections, has made Lula practically uninterested in conducting an in-depth personal campaign to secure the votes of his party in the key capitals of the country where economic power is managed. and political, such as São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro and Minas Gerais.
The unexpected result of the Quaest poll has raised the alarm of the Government and now Lula will be forced to dedicate more time to the internal problems of his government than to trying, although with all his good wishes, to solve world problems, starting with the increase of the wars that show their claws every day with less modesty.
Brazil’s problem at the moment is that, meanwhile, the classic left of the past, centered on the Workers’ Party – which became the greatest progressive force in Latin America – has ended up becoming bourgeois and has been unable to form a new generation of young people who take the alternative of the party.
Although it may seem difficult to understand, today the new generation of young people feels more inclined, dragged, by the sirens of social networks, in search of easy enrichment. They want to be rich too. Hence, it is more difficult for them to connect with the old ideals of the left and its struggles in favor of the marginalized and they feel attracted to false prophets who offer them heaven at the height of a touch on the networks.
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