President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) has the preference of the evangelical electorate for the first round of elections to the Palácio do Planalto, according to a survey released this Monday, 21, by the National Transport Confederation (CNT), in partnership with the MDA Institute. If the election were held today, Bolsonaro would have 40% of voting intentions in the evangelical segment and former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT), 30%.
The situation is reversed among Catholics: 47% said they preferred PT and 25%, Bolsonaro. The former president also leads in other sections of the electorate and appears with 42% of voting intentions in the CNT’s general survey, while Bolsonaro has 28%.
Campaigning for re-election, the president works to recover the support he had from evangelical churches in the 2018 race. Estadão/Broadcast last week.
When considering the regions of the country, the CNT survey revealed that the difference between Lula and Bolsonaro fell in the Southeast, where the two are technically tied. Taking into account the margin of error of two percentage points, Lula has 34% and Bolsonaro, 32%. In December, the difference between the two in the region was nine points and now it is just two.
In the Northeast, on the other hand, the PT increased the advantage and is 45 points ahead of Bolsonaro. He has 61% of voting intentions, while the president has 16% in the region. In December, the difference between the two was 38 points in the Northeast. Lula also leads in the South (40% to 32%, respectively) and lives another situation of technical tie with Bolsonaro in the sum of the Midwest and North regions (35% to 34%).
“The voting intention scenarios show the consolidation of eventual candidates Lula and Bolsonaro in this year’s presidential elections, with an advantage for the former president, who appears ahead of Jair Bolsonaro in the simulation for the first and second rounds. It should be noted that the current president had an increase in voting intentions compared to the last survey (December 2021)”, says the CNT report.
Bolsonaro’s reaction is related to the drop in the government’s negative assessment. The percentage of respondents who see their management as bad or terrible dropped from 48% in December to 43% in February, but it is still higher than the share that classifies the government as good or great, a percentage that fluctuated from 27% to 26% . In addition, the rate of those who rate the administration as regular rose from 24% to 30% in two months.
In voting intentions for the first round, Lula is in the lead among men (40% to 35%) and women (44% to 21%), with Bolsonaro in second place among voters who earn up to two minimum wages (51% to 21%). %) and in the segment of the population with less schooling, up to the fifth year of elementary school (61% to 16%, respectively).
Among the richest, with salaries above five minimum wages, Bolsonaro has a slight advantage (36% against 33% for Lula), as well as in the electorate with higher education (34% to 31%).
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