Group of 100 cities that received the most proportionally in the last 4 years had 51 mayors who tried to be re-elected; of these, 50 managed
The cities that were champions in receiving parliamentary amendments from 2021 to 2024 were also the champions in the success of mayors who sought re-election.
In the 100 municipalities with the most amendments per voter, 51 mayors tried to be re-elected and 50 succeeded, a re-election rate of 98%.
This group of cities includes municipalities that received more than R$3,500 in amendment money for each voter during the period from 2021 to 2024.
In contrast, the 100 cities that received the fewest amendments in relation to the number of voters had 70% of mayors re-elected.
The effect is consistent in other municipalities. THE Power360 divided the 5,517 Brazilian cities that defined the elections in the 1st round into 5 similar groups, according to the range of amendments/voter.
The higher the value of amendments per capita, the more mayors were able to be re-elected.
Regional highlights of city amendments
Two states had 100% of the mayors who tried for re-election successful: Roraima and Alagoas. Roraima has 6 municipalities in the top 10 of those that received the most amendments proportionally.
São Luiz (RR), with 7,315 inhabitants, leads the ranking of amendments paid in 2023 and in the period 2021-2024, surpassing Salvador (BA), which has 2.6 million inhabitants.
For professor George Avelino, from FGV (Fundação Getulio Vargas), the result was expected.
“The value of amendments has risen astronomically in recent times. Most mayors don’t have money to invest. If you want to do something new, you need new money. Then he runs after a deputy to increase money for the municipality. Most amendments are with a project, to do something, with some type of public equipment. They are mayors who managed to do things. Whether these things in the long term will be beneficial to the population is another thing, but they have something to show“, it says.
Avelino remembers that the incumbent (whoever is already in office) always has an advantage in the dispute. In the case of amendments, the advantage increases.“The high value of current amendments increases this competitive advantage. And this should be repeated in the 2026 elections, when current deputies try to be re-elected”he states.
Re-election rate
The re-election rate for all of Brazil (excluding cities that did not have a second round) was 82%, the highest since at least 2000. “This number must be the highest net re-election rate in history. It was an election of continuity, there was a tendency to keep everything the way it is”, says the FGV professor.
Methodology
The amounts actually paid for amendments from 2021 to 2024 to all Brazilian cities were considered. The proportional calculation was made according to the number of voters in the municipality. The 52 municipalities that will have a second round were not included in the count. Mayors who won and whose result is sub judice were considered. Representatives who had taken office in supplementary elections and who won again in 2024 were also considered re-elected.
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