Just 6 days from the closing of lists, the electoral diagnosis in the Casa Rosada is the same as the one they had two months ago: the brand of the Frente del Todos measures better than any candidate. In the Executive they are convinced that no official leader adds his own votes. “Neither Sergio Berni Nor nobody. Not even if it headed Sergio Massa”, Contributes an official with an office in the Government House.
The mention of the highest authority of the Chamber of Deputies is not accidental. In the Government they see the hand of the leader of the Renovador Front – in partnership with La Cámpora – behind the supposed clamor and the versions for the Chief of Cabinet Santiago Cafiero leave your coveted office, adjacent to that of the President, to be the head of the Buenos Aires list.
The rejection of the President’s men for Cafiero to finally become a candidate borders on indignation. “They filed him down throughout the first year and suddenly he is the best civil servant and candidate,” say the most loyal to Alberto Fernandez.
On the other hand, they insist that, after the President’s decision to keep the coordinating minister by his side, an eventual candidacy of Cafiero would end up weakening Fernández. “That does not suit any of the partners,” they explain in La Rosada. The fate of the Frente de Todos for 2023 is tied to that of the President.
This conclusion boosts optimism in the Rosada regarding the campaign that is coming and that, in fact, has already begun (as recognized by the Minister of the Interior on Tuesday. “We are already in the campaign”, he said in an official act, although legally August 8). They assume that Fernández stabilized his image after months of decline. That detail and the conviction that the election is “deeply plebiscitary” of the administration, a diagnosis that not everyone shared in the Frente de Todos weeks ago, promotes the official strategy. “Alberto pushes”, They insist on the Rosada.
This conviction anticipates a leading role for the President in the campaign; in the Province and in the rest of the districts. He will always be accompanied by the governor and the mayors on duty. That formula was already tested at the event in Lomas de Zamora this Tuesday, in which Fernández was shown with Axel Kicillof and Martín Insaurralde (where too Victoria Tolosa Paz). They intend to show territorial deployment along with the media raid that the chosen candidates will have. “First we have to get to the closings without stressing more than necessary,” they maintain. Last minute friction will be inevitable.
In the Executive, the act of Tuesday was celebrated as the return of the President to the centrality of the campaign in which he rehearsed a speech with winks to a promising future, made explicit the achievements of his administration and returned to run to the center. In the ruling party they do not lose hope of captivating the independent voters who found in Fernández’s moderate speech in 2019 a refuge from the economic failure of Mauricio Macri. Mentions of the Cambiemos government will be on the menu. The judicial cases – Argentine Mail – and for the shipment of weapons to Bolivia – facilitate the task.
In the Executive they are betting on capitalizing the management and, in particular, the administration of the pandemic and provision of vaccines, what improved social humor, according to official polls. “People are rewarding the officialdom that took charge of the pandemic,” they say in La Rosada.
Among the examples that they cite to defend this argument are the mayors themselves and also those of the Buenos Aires opposition, who, although they had no responsibility in the vaccination plan, gave space for it. They mention the examples of Julio Garro (La Plata) and Gustavo Posse (San Isidro).
Two weeks ago the President led in Olivos – in the company of Wado de Pedro and Cafiero – a semi-face-to-face meeting with his own governors, most of them from the North. There it was analyzed The “apathy” of the electorate and the increase in the number of undecided, a phenomenon enhanced by the crisis and the pandemic. The levels of adherence of all leaders fell compared to 2019. Fernández countered that the officialdom that took measures against the pandemic were not punished. The low participation in Jujuy and Misiones, with marked victories of the provincial governments, are the examples in favor of the thesis of the Government.
The governors of Peronism asked to end the employment plans administered by social organizations. “Everything is defined with a Buenos Aires-centric logic. There has to be a compensation for work ”, complained one of the provincial leaders who participated in the meeting. Macri doubled the plans job he inherited from Cristina Kirchner; Fernández did the same. Massa, who walks the Province with Berni and Kicillof and focuses on the first electoral section, is already agitating a bill to please the provincial leaders (and the voters of the center).
Several of the governors who expressed their concern to the President participated in this week’s event at Casa Rosada to launch the Federal Preinvestment Program ”for public works. The infrastructure will be another of the axes that the Government seeks to implement in the face of the elections. The Executive is committed to containing inflation and improving the pocket of the electorate and hurries a Now 24, interest-free installments, to reactivate consumption. The President takes the lead of the campaign.