At Maybrit Illner on ZDF, the guests discuss the goals of Volodymyr Selenskyj and Vladimir Putin in the Ukraine war. Military expert Carlo Masala makes it clear.
Kiev – The latest news in the Ukraine war includes: Russia is maintaining its massive arms spending for years, while the autocratic Kremlin ruler Vladimir Putin is demanding more children from his people.
Carlo Masala at Maybrit Illner: Vladimir Putin still believes in victory in Ukraine
Both show that the Moscow regime is probably expecting a very long military conflict in the treacherously invaded Ukraine. Or even with the NATO defense alliance? And: Putin is apparently not yet finished with his idiosyncratic ideas about how he presumably imagines a Great Russia in the style of Peter the Great (1672 – 1725).
In keeping with this, the much-quoted military expert Carlo Masala from the University of the Bundeswehr in Munich has now put forward the thesis that Putin sees Russia on the (alleged) path to victory in its brutally battered neighboring country, even after 32 months of unrestrained bloodshed.
Vladimir Putin: Military expert believes the Russian autocrat is confident
The 56-year-old political scientist played along “Maybrit Illner” on ZDF on a recent initiative by Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD). The German head of government had announced that he would soon have a telephone call with the Russian President about the Ukraine war (at least). But: “The Kremlin says: ‘We see no reason at all to talk to Scholz on the phone, there is no agenda,’” said Masala in the broadcast on Thursday evening (October 10th). In his opinion, the 72-year-old Kremlin ruler currently has no interest in a diplomatic solution, despite the horrendous losses suffered by the Russian army.
“There is enough diplomacy. It’s not like there aren’t any. People in Germany always act as if there is no diplomacy. There are channels that exist to Moscow, which are talked about a lot behind closed doors,” said the advisor to the Federal Ministry of Defense. Regarding international peace initiatives, for example from China, the Rhinelander said: “Mr. Putin says about all these initiatives: ‘I’m not interested. (…) From my perspective, I’m on the path to victory and I’m going to keep going.’”
Victory in the Ukraine War? Carlo Masala has doubts about President Volodymyr Zelensky
ZDF journalist Illner wanted to know from her guests whether, conversely, the Ukrainians could win the war. President Volodymyr Zelenskyj recently wanted to present his battered country’s NATO partners with a so-called victory plan. “At this point in time (…), given the current assessment of the situation, I cannot imagine that Ukraine will emerge from the conflict without ceding territory. “You have to say that,” explained Nicole Deitelhoff, political scientist at the Goethe University in Frankfurt.
She said: “When we look at the situation in Ukraine, we see personnel problems, supply problems, both of materials and personnel. We see that Russian forces in the East are making steady, albeit slow, progress. And that they are at strategically important points. I don’t think it’s very likely that we’ll get another turnaround, so to speak, in which Ukraine can actually (…) completely throw the Russians out of their territory.”
I don’t think it’s very likely that we’ll get another turnaround, so to speak, in which Ukraine can actually (…) throw the Russians out of their territory completely.
Ukraine war: Masala does not believe in military victory over Putin’s Russia
And Kyiv? Zelensky? Is the Ukrainian bluffing with his plan for victory? “That he believes that he (a peace, i.e. Red.) I rule it out militarily. Because it was actually unrealistic from the start that all Russian troops would be driven out of the territory militarily,” Masala said in his analysis: “But only as a result of a political agreement.” (pm)
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