Current mayor has 27% of voting intentions, Guilherme Boulos appears with 26% and Pablo Marçal, 19%; margin of error is 3 pp
Datafolha survey released this Thursday (September 19, 2024) shows a three-way tie in the race for Mayor of São Paulo (SP). The mayor Ricardo Nunes (MDB) appears with X% of voting intentions, the federal deputy Guilherme Boulos (Psol) has X% and former coach Pablo Marçal (PRTB) with X% of valid votes. The three are tied within the margin of error of 3 pp (percentage points)
The presenter Jose Luis Datena (PSDB) appears with x%. It is followed by the federal deputy Tabata Amaral (PSB)with X%. The economist Marina Helena (New) has X%.
Here is the stimulated scenario for the 1st round:
- Ricardo Nunes (MDB) – 27%;
- Guilherme Boulos (PSOL) – 26%;
- Pablo Marcal (PRTB) – 19%
- Tabata Amaral (PSB) – 8%;
- Jose Luiz Datena (PSDB) – 6%;
- Marina Helena (New) – 3%;
- Bebeto Haddad (DC) – 0%;
- John Pepper (PCO) – 0%;
- Ricardo Senese (UP) – 0%;
- Altino Prazeres (PSTU) – was not mentioned in the survey;
- blank/null votes – 6%;
- don’t know/didn’t answer – 3%.
The survey was conducted by Datafolha from September 17 to 19, 2024. A total of 1,204 people aged 16 or over in São Paulo (SP) were interviewed. The confidence interval is 95%. The margin of error is 3 percentage points, either way. The survey is registered with the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) under number SP-03842/2024.
According to Datafolha, the cost of the study was R$95,438.12. The amount was paid by S.Paulo Newspaper and by Globo Network.
RESEARCH AGGREGATOR
THE Poder360 offers its readers the Research Aggregator oldest and most complete survey on the internet in Brazil. It brings together thousands of voting intention surveys from all companies since the year 2000. In election years, only studies that are registered with the Electoral Court and have a complete known methodology are published. Do you have any research to share? Send the full survey by email to Poder360: [email protected].
To access the Research Aggregator, Click here and search for the data you want for the 2024 elections or all previous years. This tool offers access only to subscribers of Poder Monitor, the most complete tool for monitoring the Three Powers of Government and everything related to power. To subscribe to Poder Monitor and have access for 30 days free, click here.
Learn how to use the aggregator by watching the video below (1min12s):
#Nunes #Boulos #Marçal #tie #Datafolha