Two of the key figures of the conservative front of intellectuals that converted the opposition candidate Gálvez Ruiz in Santa Xóchitl as a Mexican version of Santa Evita, after the tsunami on Sunday, June 2, they only manage to show written evidence that they do not understand that they do not understand. And we must remind them of the democratic slogan of the Spanish Felipe González: the acceptability of defeat.
Now, after the elections, and with the calm that comes after the stormsome texts in which this group of intellectuals He went so far as to distort political rationality – despite his postdoctoral studies – in order to accommodate reality to his passionate anti-populist desires.
In February 2024in the political time of the presidential election, the former INE advisor Ciro Murayama Rendón wrote an essay in the magazine (A) Nexos to take out his crystal ball and his esoteric cards and conclude that Morena would lose the 2024 elections due to a biased reading of the alternations that have occurred in Mexico at the federal and state levels since 2000.
Although it used state information, Murayama, with its hidden crooked reasoning, actually sent a message about the presidential election: “currently there is more than twice the chance of a party in power losing the elections than of continuing to lead the local Executive. These figures (their other figures) reveal that Mexico is experiencing a true era of alternations and that the punishment vote predominates.”
Based on his experience as second in political and ideological command of the INE under the chairmanship of the counselor Lorenzo Córdova Vianello, Murayama the shot is thrown to predict since February that “for the first time Brunette “He has more to lose, six entities where he already governs, than to win.” The former electoral councilor must have been very depressed with the real balance: Morena won victory in six cities that he governed and in the process took the symbolic bastion of Yucatán from the PAN.
The reasoning of the economist and political scientist Murayama It was more desire than reality: “history tells us: in seven out of ten local elections the opposition triumphs; The party that wins a government for the first time has more than half the probability of leaving it in the next election; “There are no forces immune to defeat and it is very difficult to return to power after losing it.”
With the presidential election on the horizon, Murayama’s crystal ball forecast anticipated — from his point of view, of course — the presidential defeat of Brunette: “intense pluralism and volatility characterize the Mexican electorate, not its unconditional adherence to one party or another. All this anticipates a good number of local alternations in 2024 and dozens of government renewals in the years to come.”
He morenista tsunami of the second of June drowned Murayama’s credibility in its hangover.
The intellectual who became enthusiastic in a Peronist way with the candidacy of Santa Xóchitl was the writer Héctor Aguilar Camínauthor of books on democracy and director of the magazine (A) Nexos. In his column on Tuesday the 4th, two days after the Morenoist tsunami, the intellectual’s capacity for political reasoning can be summed up in one word: the electoral balance left him with his mouth open.
His article is more like a message in a bottle thrown into the sea from the Island of Incomprehension (the R. puts in his spoon): he severely demands that Mexicans have voted for Brunette knowing what is coming, he says, a tyrannya dictatorship. The person responsible for that great effort at the Institute of Anthropology and History to make files of more than 5,000 books on Mexican politics throughout national history confesses Socratically that he only knows that he knows nothing: “I confess that I do not understand that deep and majority drive of the voters.” And then he reasons: “why did they vote like that? Don’t know. I propose to explore its reasons (perhaps a postdoctoral degree in social-electoral politics, R. advises). But its consequences are clear.”
What the organic intellectual of the right does not recognize is that it was a democratic act, although he writes it without understanding what he writes: “the majority voters of June 2 decided to put themselves unreservedly in the hands of the next government, giving it the necessary powers.” so that he can do whatever he wants with them.” Any political science manual, R. says modestly, points out that this is called… democracy and that is what citizens vote for.
And he closes his text with unreasonable reasoning: “is that what the voters want? Left in the hands of what their politicians want? Don’t know”.
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