The CIS once again gives the PSOE the winner in the European elections, with an advantage of between one and five points

Just six days before the European elections on June 9, the Center for Sociological Research (CIS), directed by former member of the socialist executive José Félix Tezanos, names the PSOE as the winner. The list headed by Teresa Ribera would obtain between 31.6% and 33.2% of the votes, compared to the PP, the second force with a range that places between 28.3% and 30.5% of the ballots. This represents an advantage of between 1.1 and 4.9 percentage points for the socialists. In the last European Parliament elections, in May 2019, the PSOE obtained 32.8% of the votes, and the PP, 20.1%.

The CIS places Vox as the third force, with a vote estimate of between 9.9% and 11%; much higher than that of 2019, when they obtained 6%. The fourth position would be for Sumar (between 5.4% and 7.1%). Yolanda Díaz’s platform would be ahead of Podemos, to which the study gives between 3.6% and 3.9% of the votes, a mark that leaves the formation of the candidate Irene Montero, former Minister of Equality, for below The Party is Over, the group of the agitator on social networks and propagator of hoaxes Alvise Pérez, to whom the poll gives between 4.9% and 5.7% of the votes. Now Repúblicas, which brings together ERC, the BNG, EH Bildu and Ara Mès, would obtain between 3.7% and 4.1% of the votes; and Junts, between 1.5% and 1.6%. Ciudadanos, which was the third force in the 2019 elections, would remain between 0.7% and 1.2%. Almost 35% of voters will decide their vote this last week of the campaign, according to the CIS.

The survey, prepared from 7,491 interviews carried out between May 23 and 30 – the day on which the amnesty law was definitively approved in Congress – shows the socialist Ribera as the head of the highest-rated list and the only who approves, with a grade of 5.2 out of 10. She is followed by the popular Dolors Montserrat, with a 4.47, and the Sumar candidate, Estrella Galán, with a 3.9. Irene Montero, head of the Podemos list, obtains an average rating of 3.55; Jordi Cañas, from Ciudadanos, 3.31; Jorge Buxadé, from Vox, 3.21; and Alvise Pérez, from The Party’s Over, a 3.11.

51.4% of those surveyed say they have followed the news related to the European elections with little or no interest. The majority (64.9%) prefer to get their information from the press and television (64.6%). Asked why they are most influenced when voting, the majority group (57%) points out “issues related to the political situation in Spain”, compared to 29.3% who respond “issues related to the European Union”. The majority also gives more importance to the party (65.9%) than to the candidate (22.3%) when making a decision. On the ideological self-location scale, with 1 being the extreme left and 10 being the extreme right, the average of the population is 4.8, that is, slightly to the left.

Up to 38.2% of Spaniards affirm in the survey that “in the European elections it may be convenient to vote for a different party than the one voted for in the general elections”, while another 32.3% claim to vote for the same party in both calls. When asked who they would prefer to now occupy the position of President of the Government, 32% point to Pedro Sánchez and 21.2% to Alberto Núñez Feijóo.

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