Electoral political polls today 3 September 2023
POLITICAL ELECTION SURVEYS – Between price increase And immigrationthe month of August penalizes the government and drops below the threshold of 40% approval both the Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and the executive. The confidence of Italians in the capabilities of the centre-right to stop the run of high cost of living and the flow of landings is lowered and it is mainly affected Brothers of Italy, the party that emerged victorious from last September’s elections. While the League by Matteo Salvini, who stood out in August with various distinctions, is once again gaining ground. This is the photograph of the last survey Euromedia Research For The print after a month of blackout in surveys, from which no stronger opposition emerges despite the government’s difficulties.
The confidence index Giorgia Meloni settles down to 37.5% while the executive is al 34.6%: Both values are in drop by 3 points compared to the July survey. The 61.6% of Italians also doubt that the majority will be able to find cost-of-living solutions. The index of distrust in the ability to manage the immigration issue also rose after a month in which the landing record and controversies arose, including from centre-right local administrators, on the subject hospitality.
HOW POLLS ARE MADE
Electoral and political polls are carried out by polling companies according to precise scientific criteria. The authors of the surveys must identify a sample to be interviewed that is sufficiently large and representative of the population to be analysed. In the case of polls on voting intentions for political parties or the confidence index of political leaders, therefore, the interviewees must adequately represent the adult Italian population, those who have the right to vote and who go to the polls. This work is done to minimize the margin of error and make the detection as reliable as possible.
Usually a political poll is considered reliable if the margin of error indicated is 3 percent with a confidence interval of 95 percent. It is precisely that of identifying a representative sample of the population that the pollsters face the greatest difficulty. Interviews for electoral political polls are usually carried out with a Cati methodology, by telephone, or Cawi, via the Internet, or mixed. To carry out the interviews, opinion poll companies rely on specialized companies.
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