Electoral political polls today February 4, 2023
POLITICAL ELECTION SURVEYS – Fdi is no longer growing: the trend recorded in recent weeks also by other research institutes is confirmed by the latest political electoral surveys carried out by Ixe.
According to the survey, in fact, Giorgia Meloni’s party remains above 30%, but drops by 0.2 percent compared to last month.
The M5S also fell back to 17.9%, while the Democratic Party returned to growth, now credited with 16.7 percent. The Lega was bad, losing more than two percentage points (Carroccio went from 9.1 to 7 percent), while Azione lost 0.7% to 7 percent.
The parties of Renzi and Calenda, therefore, are overtaken by Forza Italia which goes from 6.9 percent last month to 7.5%. The other minor parties are all down, with the exception of +Europe and Per l’Italia con Paragone.
HOW POLLS ARE MADE
Electoral and political polls are carried out by polling companies according to precise scientific criteria. The authors of the surveys must identify a sample to be interviewed that is sufficiently large and representative of the population to be analysed. In the case of polls on voting intentions for political parties or the confidence index of political leaders, therefore, the interviewees must adequately represent the adult Italian population, those who have the right to vote and who go to the polls. This work is done to minimize the margin of error and make the detection as reliable as possible. Usually a political poll is considered reliable if the margin of error indicated is 3 percent with a confidence interval of 95 percent. It is precisely that of identifying a representative sample of the population that the pollsters face the greatest difficulty. Interviews for electoral political polls are usually carried out with a Cati methodology, by telephone, or Cawi, via the Internet, or mixed. To carry out the interviews, opinion poll companies rely on specialized companies.
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