Government, vetoes, diktats and electoral calculations push the country towards the polls
There is time until Wednesday 20 July, the day of communications in the Chamber of Prime Minister Mario Draghi after yesterday’s resignation rejected by the President of the Republic Sergio Mattarella, to try to rebuild the government majority. A difficult, winding and all uphill path. Even the centrist parliamentarians, in particular the Renzians of Italia Viva, who are notoriously the most Draghian of all, describe the situation as “very complex”. First of all SuperMario.
In communicating the resignation in cabinet he used very clear words, “the pact of trust has broken down”, and in the previous days he had explained on several occasions, both officially and unofficially, that there is no other majority other than the one that has supported the unity executive so far national. With these premises, a Draghi bis with a different team appears very difficult. Not only that, the premier before eventually accepting to move forward will demand maximum loyalty from the parties and their leaders.
Super Mario, both on the economic front and in relations with Europe and on the war in Ukraine, wants to have his hands free and absolutely does not intend to continue another 8-10 months with disputes, threats, spite and an exhausting back and forth. On the party front, the 5 Star Movement he certainly cannot take back everything, the day before yesterday Giuseppe Conte stated that they do not sign “blank bills” to Draghi and therefore it will be very hard to go back. Also because Conte’s dream is a few months in the opposition to try to get back in the polls.
The Democratic Party, however, at least according to official statements, has always said that there are no other governments and other majorities and does not want to give the opposition to Conte or even remain in an executive that at that point would be driven by the Center-right and in particular from the League. As for the Carroccio, as Riccardo Molinari, the leader of the group in the House explained this morning, it will not support a “seaside” government by explicitly defining the elections as the “most logical solution”.
However, Matteo Salvini, which has suffered the opposition of the Brothers of Italy in this year and a half (just look at the polls), absolutely does not want to have another populist opposition that can erode other support for the League. For the moment Salvini still does not say “elections and that’s it” both because it has the Draghian frond, Giorgetti and the Governors, and not to scare Forza Italia. Silvio Berlusconi would also go to the vote, but he must take into account the strong opposition of an important slice of his party led by the three Azzurri ministers.
The only solution to move forward with Draghi and avoid the elections (the most likely date is that of 2 October) would be a massive transfer from M5S to Together for the Future of Luigi Di Maio. But, at the moment, there is perhaps talk of some unity and above all in the Chamber. The group of pentastellates in the Senate, as demonstrated by the vote of confidence on the Dl Aiuti, is granite. Obviously, Mattarella’s opposition to the early vote and international pressures remain, from Europe to the markets with the spread rising again.
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