Data is from a survey of PoderData; president also loses 38% of the votes he had in confrontation with Haddad
Search PowerDate held from May 22 to 24, shows that 32% of voters who voted in Jair Bolsonaro (PL) in the 2nd round against Fernando Haddad (EN) in 2018 today disapprove of the federal government.
The negative evaluation rate among voters of the current president has increased by 5 points since the last survey, carried out from May 8 to 10, 2022. Those who approve of the federal administration went from 66% to 63% in the period.
At general evaluation, which considers the representative of the entire Brazilian population, approval for the government is 38% and disapproval reaches 54%. The margin of error is plus or minus 2 percentage points.
Among those who chose Fernando Haddad (EN) 4 years ago, 84% disapproved of Bolsonaro’s management, while only 7% approved. In this group, 9% say they do not know whether they approve or disapprove of the government.
To arrive at this result, the PowerDate crossed the result of the questions “Do you approve or disapprove of the government of President Jair Bolsonaro?” and “who did you vote for president in the 2nd round of the 2018 election?”.
The survey was carried out by PowerDategroup company Power 360 Journalism, with its own resources. Data were collected from May 22 to 24, 2022, through calls to cell phones and landlines. There were 3,000 interviews in 301 municipalities in the 27 units of the Federation. The margin of error is 2 percentage points. The confidence interval is 95%. The TSE registration is BR-05638/2022.
To reach 3,000 interviews that proportionally fill (as they appear in society) the groups by sex, age, income, education and geographic location, the PowerDate makes tens of thousands of phone calls. Often, there are more than 100,000 calls until the interviewees who faithfully represent the entire population are found. Learn more about the methodology by reading this text.
VOTE IN 2022 X VOTE IN 2018
President Jair Bolsonaro loses 38% of the votes that elected him in 2018 in a possible scenario of the 1st round of the 2022 presidential race. Voters who say they will repeat the choice this year add up to 57%. 15 days ago, it was 61%.
The survey also shows that the former president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT) inherits 23% of the Bolsonarista votes from that election. Ciro Gomes (PDT) absorbs 4%, André Janones (forward) and Simone Tebet (MDB), 3% each. The other pre-candidates scored between 0% and 1%.
Among the voters of Fernando Haddad of 2018, 76% say they will vote for Lula in 2022. The current president inherits 6% of this electorate.
POWERDATA
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POWERDATACAST
THE Power 360 it’s the PowerDate publish every 15 days the PowerDataCast, focused exclusively on the debate of electoral and public opinion polls. The last episode, still with data from the previous round, had the participation of the political scientist and coordinator of the PowerDate Rodolfo Costa Pinto.
Watch (15min5s):
METHODOLOGY
The search PowerDate was carried out from May 22 to 24, 2022. 3,000 people aged 16 years or older were interviewed in 301 municipalities in the 27 units of the Federation. A parametric weighting was applied to compensate for disproportionalities in the variables of sex, age, education level, region and income. The margin of error is plus or minus 2 percentage points. The interviews were carried out by telephone (for landlines and cell phones), using the URA (Audible Response Unit) system, in which the interviewee listens to recorded questions and responds through the keyboard of the device. The confidence interval of the study is 95%.
For readability, search results have been rounded. Due to this process, it is possible that the sum of some of the results is different from 100. Differences between the total frequencies and the percentages in tables of crossing of variables can happen due to occurrences of non-response. This study was carried out with the resources of the PowerDatea research company that is part of the media group Power360 Journalism. The research is registered with the TSE under the number BR-05638/2022.
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