Voters go to the polls on October 30 to choose between Lula and Bolsonaro, who came out ahead in the 1st round of the election.
TSE historical data (Superior Electoral Court) show that abstention in the 2nd round of elections tends to always be higher than in the 1st.
Now, in 2022, voters will have to return to the polls on October 30 to choose between Lula (PT) and Jair Bolsonaro (PL) to be Brazil’s next president. In the 1st stage of the election, 20.95% of voters qualified to vote did not attend.
In 2018, abstention was slightly lower than that recorded this year: 20.3%. At that time, the presidential election also went to the 2nd round – and the rate of those who did not vote rose to 21.2%.
as showed the Power 360, voters with lower levels of education, usually the poorest, are historically the ones who are most absent from the polls. This group is also one of those that now, in 2022, gives Lula a wide advantage. If abstention increases this year, it could be bad news for the PT campaign.
On October 30, with deputies, senators and many governors already elected, 72.8 million Brazilians will need to go back to the polls just to choose the new president. This is because in 15 states the definition of the new local chief executive was already taken on October 2nd.
ABSTENTION IN THE 1st TURN
In the 1st round of the 2022 elections, held on October 2, 14.6 million people in the Southeast did not vote. This number is equivalent to 22% of eligible voters in the most populous region of the country.
In São Paulo alone, 7.5 million people did not go to the polls (21.6% of those qualified). In Minas Gerais, 3.6 million (22.3%). And in Rio de Janeiro, 2.9 million (22.7%). The rate in Espírito Santo was 20.8%.
The national average of abstention in 2022 was 20.95% – higher than the one recorded 4 years ago (20.3%). This number has grown since 2006.
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